by SCIAG »
04 Jul 2011 15:06
Snowball Hoop Blah Why would you need to cancel all Harte's penalties and free kicks?
Siggurdson's twenty goals were largely penalties and free=kicks.
Either HE takes them, or Harte takes them or Long takes them (pens).
So obviously, If Siggy had played and taken the free's Harte would have scored less.
Or, if Harte had taken them, Siggy would have scored less.
Same issue with penalties.
You can't have three guys scoring the same penalties.
Between them Sigurdsson and Long have pretty good penalty records (I'm sure you haven't forgotten that 7 or 8 of your hero's goals from his 25 this
season came from the penalty spot) and Sigurdsson on the free kicks might've been more productive than Harte.
I think you'll see I mentioned (7)
As for Gylfi's frees, you're kidding, right? Harte has a better shot-conversion record than Gylfi, Gylfi was wasteful
131 Shots = 71 On Target 53 Off Target 7 Hit Woodwork, 20 Goals, 1 every 6.55 shots 2009-10
Gylfi 060 Shots = 30 On Target 21 Off Target 9 Hit Woodwork, 11 Goals, 1 every 5.45 shots 2010-11
HarteWith Sigurdsson in the side I think we may well have seen more goals from McAnuff and Kebe too (not to mention Long)
as they'd have benefited from his creativity and the extra space a player of his quality could've created by mainting
possession a bit more and attracting opposition defences attention away from them.
You THINK. Yet we scored more goals without Siggy (and conceded a lot less) 84+5 versus 82.
So presumably you're saying we'd've scored 90+ this season with Gylfi in?
Several flaws there. Firstly, you can't say "Harte and Long scored 17 goals from free kicks and penalties, Sigurdsson scored 20 goals, therefore Sigurdsson scored 3 goals from open play" (which you have effectively said). We were quite possibly awarded more penalties this season than last, and Sigurdsson already managed to score 2 goals from open play.
It would be more valid to say, for example, "Sigurdsson scored 12 goals from open play in the second half of 09-10, so would have scored 24 goals from open play last season". Add on the penalties and suddenly he's breaking records!
A "shot" is not the same as a "free kick". Your statistics only prove that Sigurdsson was more wasteful with his shooting, which was to be expected given that he plays as a second striker and has to shoot more often. He's actually better at getting his shots on target according to your stats.
We (particularly Long) started to struggle for goals towards the end of the season relative to our great run of form in the middle of the season, largely because teams were sitting deep after the Leicester match because they knew Long and Kébé would punish them. With Sigurdsson in the side, they wouldn't have been so prepared to sit deep because we'd have a long shot specialist. Either they allowed Sigurdsson to get shots away, or they allowed him to play Long through on goal.
Quite frankly, I think the only legitimate challenge to "we'd have been better with Sigurdsson" is pointing out that we wouldn't have had Legs, Zurab or Harte (possibly not Brett Williams or Morrison or Manset), and there would have been spells with only six fit defenders and central midfielders (think Man City away, but without Zurab). We would easily have been better going forward with him and only a loon would claim otherwise.